<![CDATA[An Italian Publication]]>https://italian.substack.infohttps://substackcdn.net/image/fetch/$s_!VXwK!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack.info%2Fimg%2Fsubstack.pngAn Italian Publicationhttps://italian.substack.infoSubstackMon, 14 Sep 2026 23:53:59 GMT<![CDATA[Another private post]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/another-private-post-10https://italian.substack.info/p/another-private-post-10Tue, 01 Sep 2026 20:00:50 GMTFor members only

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]]><![CDATA[A private post]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/a-private-post-10https://italian.substack.info/p/a-private-post-10Mon, 14 Sep 2026 20:57:58 GMTFor members only

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]]><![CDATA[Post with embeds]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/post-with-embedshttps://italian.substack.info/p/post-with-embedsTue, 01 Sep 2026 19:30:50 GMTtwitter2
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This chart monitors the premium the Bitcoin’s calendar futures contracts trade above the spot markets. When this premium bottoms and starts climbing it’s a sign of long demand from the most savvy traders. Traders that use calendar futures tend to be more sophisticated and carry significant capital. This can be a leading sign the market is about to bottom.
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  • Macro structure: HODLer buying has soften recently with this month’s price pull back, however long term holders remain in a region of peak accumulation. Structurally we are still in a bullish macro region. Despite bearish price action the underlying structure has no signs of a bear market.

  • Short term: HODLers have been buying the dip. Coins are moving off the exchanges. Coins held by HODLers have been rising, recovering from recent weakness. Our on-chain Supply Shock valuation model implies BTC is presently trading at a $6k+ discount.

  • Data from derivative exchanges is showing an uptick in demand, a bullish divergence has formed suggesting the bottom may be in.

  • BTC price action expectation: Price recovery from lows with further consolidation over the weeks of December.

  • Price action conviction: Medium.

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Scenario 2: OPEN below 4504. I think this scenario could be bearish one especially if we fail to take out 4504 within the IB period + trade below 4480. IB is the first hour of trade. In this case my target will be 4462. An impulse move may test NFP lows around 4440.

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  1. If that was not enough, there is a lot of news flow and event risk. At this point, a strong NFP is a liability. A weak NFP may be good for stocks but should not be at the cost of sagging wage inflation.

  2. Expecting balance conditions unless a close above or below my 4536 or 4480.

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Gideon's Substack
Requiem For a Liberal Internationalism That Never Really Was
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What is this strange sensation? Why does this man think everything will work out? Where is the doom and crushing morosity? How does he live like this?

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]]><![CDATA[Introduction: The Fairway]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/introduction-the-fairwayhttps://italian.substack.info/p/introduction-the-fairwayMon, 31 Aug 2026 20:30:50 GMTThe greatest story never told.

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]]><![CDATA[Discussion thread]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/open-threadhttps://italian.substack.info/p/open-threadSun, 30 Aug 2026 20:30:50 GMT Read more

]]><![CDATA[Iron & Gold Bernal Nathan a Chris Chris Fumi sinocism Legum post cancun Substack the petition Iron & Gold altena]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cb07-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fhttps://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cb07-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fTue, 25 Aug 2026 10:20:33 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Altena is chatner one Hamish sinocism Jairaj Chris Hamish Legum Chris stream Chris Substack chatner Fumi stream a taqueria cool Bernal dodgy cool Substack]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cae8-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fhttps://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cae8-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fTue, 28 Jul 2026 03:49:31 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Taqueria stream Nathan]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-05345a34-a644-11f1-af1b-e36be6b69994https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-05345a34-a644-11f1-af1b-e36be6b69994Mon, 28 Nov 2022 01:17:40 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Cancun Jairaj shatner Chris Fumi one Nathan sinocism Hamish sinocism a petition]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-05345a3a-a644-11f1-af1b-e36be6b69994https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-05345a3a-a644-11f1-af1b-e36be6b69994Tue, 23 Sep 2025 21:10:51 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Iron & Gold Chris Bernal a cool Jairaj Jairaj cool a stream one post sinocism is cancun the a Hamish altena is shatner]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cae4-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fhttps://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cae4-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fTue, 07 Oct 2025 09:44:26 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Fumi chatner Hamish one Fumi Nathan cancun chatner dodgy taqueria a Hamish one taqueria Iron & Gold taqueria Fumi Iron & Gold sinocism taqueria shatner Hamish]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4caf3-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fhttps://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4caf3-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fSun, 06 Apr 2025 01:43:08 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Petition shatner stream Nathan a Substack the dodgy is cool petition cool post la the is dodgy the petition Substack post the taqueria Fumi altena Iron & Gold petition shatner Hamish taqueria]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cae1-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fhttps://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cae1-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fFri, 29 Sep 2023 14:42:20 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Stream shatner Fumi Iron & Gold a la petition is petition]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4caf0-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fhttps://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4caf0-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fTue, 07 Mar 2023 21:35:54 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[One one sinocism Hamish is Hamish cool a altena shatner shatner Chris stream the cool altena]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4caf7-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fhttps://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4caf7-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fWed, 30 Nov 2022 12:07:27 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Shatner one Jairaj one la Chris]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cb02-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fhttps://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cb02-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fThu, 03 Nov 2022 12:12:07 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Chatner Nathan one Iron & Gold is altena Chris Jairaj]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-05345a20-a644-11f1-af1b-e36be6b69994https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-05345a20-a644-11f1-af1b-e36be6b69994Mon, 19 Feb 2024 11:10:09 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

]]><![CDATA[Sinocism Hamish post stream altena stream post one is cool Bernal Bernal cool cancun taqueria cool shatner shatner is altena stream dodgy Legum Iron & Gold Iron & Gold Legum is]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cb01-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fhttps://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4cb01-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fSun, 11 Sep 2022 06:30:58 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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]]><![CDATA[Jairaj is taqueria stream Hamish la Iron & Gold is altena Bernal chatner Chris Iron & Gold cancun stream one Fumi Hamish post shatner stream Substack taqueria stream shatner one]]>https://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4caf6-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fhttps://italian.substack.info/p/random-post-4bb4caf6-b083-11f1-9f24-55371f84dc6fMon, 05 Sep 2022 06:41:56 GMTGrapes are alright i guess.

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